Polymarket gives zero Fed cuts in 2026 an overwhelming lead. PredictBoy agrees that no cuts are the base case, but leaves a larger tail for one late-year cut if disinflation or labor weakness accelerates.
Read MoreBitcoin is trading near $81,000 after a sharp rally, leaving both $85K upside and $75K downside thresholds in play. PredictBoy compares Polymarket odds with volatility, technical levels, ETF flows and September Fed risk.
Read MorePolymarket currently leans toward a Democratic sweep, but the Senate remains structurally harder for Democrats than the House. PredictBoy’s framework gives a slight edge to a Democratic House with a Republican Senate.
Read MoreFable 5.1 Max currently leads the Arena leaderboard used to resolve this Polymarket market, but low vote depth, overlapping rank uncertainty, mature Opus challengers, and the broad “Other” basket keep the race open.
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